After easily dispatching a Lakers team, sans LeBron James, last night, Steph Curry and the Warriors get a much less potent opponent on Friday. They host the Hornets, and Curry figures to factor into lots of player props against his hometown team. For his career versus any team, the two-time MVP has averaged his fifth-most points (26.7) and fourth-most assists (7.1) against Charlotte. Curry has an NBA props total for points at 28.5 for tonight, while his NBA props line for assists is at 6.5.
Curry has hit the Over on both of those totals in just six games this season. However, his dad, Dell, works for the Hornets, and his brother, Seth Curry, was just traded to Charlotte, so Steph Curry may want to put on a show in front of his family. Should you combine player props for Curry’s points and assists into an NBA parlay for Friday? Before making any NBA prop picks on sites like PrizePicks for Friday, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 18 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 60-36 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
For Friday’s NBA schedule, the model has locked in its NBA best bets. You can only see the model’s NBA prop picks at SportsLine.
Top NBA prop bet for Friday
After simulating every game on Friday’s NBA schedule 10,000 times, the model is picking Under 27.5 points for Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards at -115 odds. Minnesota takes on Milwaukee, and this will be the Wolves’ first game out of the All-Star break. Edwards has a trend of putting out somewhat underwhelming performances when coming off long breaks as he’s gone Under 27.5 points in all four of his games this season coming off a rest of at least three days. That trend isn’t just reserved for this season, as for his career, his scoring average of 21.3 points per game with three-plus days of rest is lower than after any other rest interval.
Edwards is averaging just 20.1 points over his last eight home games, and the Target Center will play host tonight. He actually has more games with single-digit points (three) over this stretch than he has games with 30-plus points (two). Add in that he’s scored under 27.5 points in six of seven career games versus the Bucks, and the model comfortably backs the Under in this matchup. You can see which other NBA picks to back here.
All NBA prop bets for Friday
See Raptors vs. Hawks props here
See 76ers vs. Cavaliers props here
See Suns vs. Rockets props here
See Thunder vs. Wizards props here
See Clippers vs. Grizzlies props here
See Heat vs. Pelicans props here
See Bucks vs. Timberwolves props here
See Warriors vs. Hornets props here
See Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers props here
See Lakers vs. Spurs props here
How to make NBA prop picks for Friday
The model has simulated every NBA game 10,000 times and has some surprising projections for Friday’s schedule. You can only see the model’s NBA best bets and SGP picks at SportsLine.